The first democracy coalition government is mired in a self-inflicted chaos unprecedented, in the midst of the most serious economic, health and social crisis of modern times. The deadly jump without network of the agreement with Bildu to repeal the 2012 labor reform has opened a titanic gap, not only between the PSOE and United We Can – which in itself would be serious – but also between socialist ministers of social court and the most economically orthodox, such as the vice president for economics, Nadia Calviño. If under normal circumstances the path of this two-color Executive had been inherently difficult, the pandemic has subjected your unit to a stress test, just as he was taking his first steps. And the lack of habit of joint work has evidenced the reality: lack of control, rectifications and, what is more serious: sides. Analysts are already betting that it does not survive and it is pointed out that general elections are called in winter.

The shot by the butt is of such magnitude that, far from expanding the parliamentary base of its supports, the Executive bloc has seen its hackneyed variable geometry reduced in Congress, with the PNV’s huge anger, who has warned the Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, that “the PNV’s trust deposit” in him is in the reserve. This adds to the Compromís pumpkins -by the pact with Citizens- and ERC, reason why the dependency of the party of Inés Arrimadas seems greater in the future.

And it all happens at a time when the unity and faith in the resolving capacity of governments They are more expensive than ever on the markets and when Brussels, where community policy cooks reconstruction after the pandemic, decides what funds to give to Spain and under what conditions. The European Union (EU) has attended an unfortunate spectacle when it watches every move by a government that has already warned that the belt must be tightened and make adjustments, including actions to protect employment, guarantee liquidity to SMEs and the self-employed, and mobilize public and private investment.

Nothing further. On Wednesday it was reported that the law promoted by the popular party in 2012, in the midst of a European credit crisis and by virtue of which ERTEs have been provided which have been used to preserve employment in the coronavirus crisis, was to be repealed. The agreement was signed by the parliamentary groups of the PSOE, Unidas Podemos and Bildu and the signatories of the government parties were the spokesmen, Adriana Lastra and Pablo Echenique, in addition to Mertxe Aizpurua, spokesman for Bildu. These events encouraged economic agents to such an extent that the CEOE and Cepyme cut off all negotiations with the Government. The Executive went out to qualify the pact, under pressure from Calviño, who in turn kept all lines open with the employers, who came to threaten his resignation, according to knowledgeable sources, if there was no rectification.

This concatenation of events has opened a crisis in the Executive whose ins and outs enter the field of speculation. Some sources affirm that both the Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, and the Second Vice President of the Government and Minister for Social Rights and the 2030 Agenda, Pablo Iglesias, were aware. Others speak that apart from a few, the parties were in the most absolute inopia, so much so, that the Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz, was kept out of this agreement. Third parties claim that the agreement was forged between Echenique and Bildu and the PSOE was added at the last minute and for fear of running out of support for the fifth and last extension of the state of alarm.

DIMISIONS, PURGES AND ELECTIONS

Be that as it may, the opposition rubs its hands, waiting for heads roll over the failures of the last days and parliamentary sources point to Lastra as the epicenter of the drama, although her friends defend her and emphasize that she always acts with the support of Moncloa. Other sectors indicate that Calviño has only postponed a departure that they take for granted and that the name of the first vice president, Carmen Calvo, is once again in the pillory, for the failure to attract ERC to abstention, since it is responsible for relations with the republican party.

On the other hand, the dissent among socialist barons to force a rupture of the coalition with United We Can. Much of the party is dumb with amazement, according to knowledgeable sources, while others, such as the president of Aragon, Javier Lambán, have made their position public. In a tweet, he explicitly celebrated the pact with Ciudadanos and his rejection of Moncloa returning to “resort to parties that do not believe in Spain or in the common future of all Spaniards at all.”

For now, the government collects the remains and tries to calm the business community. the same Sánchez has spoken with the employers and unions to redirect the situation. At the same time, it tries to deny the discrepancies, which have been public and notorious, by sending an image of unity appealing to the “different sensibilities” of an Executive in which, according to the Minister of Finance and Executive spokesperson, María Jesús Montero “We are all going together and the important thing is that we are able to overcome this sanitary phase.”

This fateful panorama suggests that the only way for this government to subsist is that, first, responsibilities are purged, so it would not be surprising to find some type of internal purge of those responsible for the alliance with the abertzale party. Meanwhile, the idea of ​​a electoral advance The winter that leads to a large coalition for reconstruction after the pandemic takes shape.

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