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Luis González: Year 2035, goodbye to gasoline cars?

Luis Gónzalez VillarealLuis Gónzalez Villareal Source: Courtesy

Dear reader, most car manufacturing companies are migrating their production lines to the manufacture of electric cars.

Many already have a goal of no longer selling internal combustion cars by 2035. And some of the producing plants They expect that by 2040 they will be fully carbon neutral.

This is due to market trends, efficiency and environmental regulations. They all seek avoid an ecological catastrophe and achieve a better world.

This adjustment has multiple impacts, not only in the production lines, the change will generate a collateral transformation to the entire industry not only to the one that today manufactures engines, transmissions and multiple components for internal combustion cars, we will also see a shocking change in service stations, in refineries and throughout the energy sector.

Imagine the degree of speed and progress that the transition to this type of unit takes in our neighboring country and largest commercial partner,s United States They are already looking for a way to collect taxes proportionally in the face of the increase in electric cars, that is, currently with the tax that is charged on fuels such as gasoline and diesel, including biomass fuels, it is used to build their streets and roads. The higher the consumption of fuel a vehicle has, the greater the use of roads, which proportionally pays a higher tax.

Faced with this imminent change in the entire transportation industry They are already looking for the proportional formula for the use of each electric vehicle in order to collect the tax.

The challenge is that how it is expected that the new electric cars can be self-sustainable using solar and wind energy On site for its operation, which is likely to be disconnected from the electricity grid, the big question will be which mechanisms to implement in order to continue to collect proportionally the taxes that may be allocated for the construction and maintenance of the roads.

This transition will generate multiple and important adjustments in the industry because electric motors do not require the same maintenance that an internal combustion car requires, they are very efficient, this will also require a change in agencies and workshops. A large number of maquiladora companies that manufacture engine and transmission components that are located in Mexico will have to adapt to new models.

There are several challenges to generate a rapid development of these vehicles, among the main ones being the high price of batteries and their useful life, but it is expected that we will see a revolution similar or even more accelerated to the one we live with cell phones.

Nature has never stopped evolving as well as our technology, which in these next decades is expected to evolve towards increasingly efficient alternatives.

Some of the advances will be temporary and others permanently, we will see the evolution of cars that generate electricity based on combustion cells that combine hydrogen and oxygen, in which there is a great commitment to various car brands. And in this process of efficiency there is an important migration towards cars and trucks that run on natural gas, currently there are more than 15 million vehicles circulating with this fossil fuel in the world which due to the fact that there is a wide network of pipelines, as well as small-scale transport and supply equipment to be able to use it. This gas is the least polluting of all and is one of the most viable for all types of transport units, it is used largely in Asia, South America and Europe, with very reliable and economical units.

Dear reader, the energy transition is a reality, gasoline cars will stop being manufactured very soon, some brands will only make electric cars from 2025 and the date that is expected when we will not see more gasoline cars in most agencies it’s the year 2035,

Are public and private companies in Mexico visualizing and prepared for this imminent great change in the transportation and energy industry?

Thank you until next time

The author is CEO of Petroland, former CEO of Pemex Franchises and builder of Service Stations. Authorized Marketer of Liquefied and Compressed Natural Gas of the CRE, member of the PEI / NACS and Consultant in Energy Efficiency.

Give your opinion: lgonzalez@petrolandmx.com

This is an opinion column. The expressions used here are the sole responsibility of the person signing them and do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of El Financiero.