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How do we reach 100,000 deaths from COVID-19 in Mexico?

This Thursday Mexico exceeded 100,000 deaths from COVID-19, eight months and one day after the first death, a 41-year-old man

Eight months and a day later of the first death by COVID-19, Mexico exceeded 100,000 deaths as a result of the disease and with it the “catastrophic scenario”Projected by the Health Secretary.

On March 18, the health authorities reported that a 41-year-old man, admitted to the National Institute of Respiratory Diseases (INER) of Mexico City was the first victim of the pandemic in Mexico.

The patient had started with symptoms of COVID-19 nine days before and suffered from diabetes.

Two and a half months later, on June 1, the Ministry of Health confirmed 10,167 deaths from the SARS-CoV-2 virus. By that date, Mexico still did not reach 100,000 accumulated confirmed cases.

With almost 200 thousand infectionsTwo weeks later, deaths reached 20,394. That day, 19th of June, was the second with the most new cases and with the highest number of deaths.

Another two weeks later, in the first days of July, Mexico added 523 new deaths from the disease up to 30,366.

On July 21, 40,400 deaths were confirmed and on August 6, the first 50,000 deaths were reported without the country reaching the peak of the pandemic.

The 60,254 deaths from coronavirus arrived on August 22, when the cases were 556,216.

By September 21, the 73 thousand 697 deaths from coronavirus arrived and on October 5 they added 81 thousand 877 deaths.

Just weeks later, on October 28, the country exceeded 90,000 deaths, just eight months after the first confirmed case.

Mexico, fourth in the world in deaths from COVID-19

Nowadays, Mexico ranks fourth in the world in coronavirus deaths, according to the Johns Hopkins University.

United States It is the first with 252 thousand 484 deaths; followed by Brazil with 168 thousand 61 and the India with 131 thousand 578.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Assessments (IHME) of the University of Washington, United States, projected that by December in Mexico there would be 138,828 deaths, an incidence of 104.5 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants as the best scenario.

Mortality from COVID-19 in Mexico is lower than in Europe

The Undersecretary of Prevention and Health Promotion, Hugo Lopez-Gatell, asked not to confuse mortality with lethality and detailed the parameters in Mexico before the pandemic of coronavirus.

He explained that in epidemiology the mortality refers to the number of people who die, divided by the population that can have the disease and die, in the case of COVID-19This would apply to all the inhabitants of a locality, state, municipality or country. In this case, the probability that a person will die from COVID-19 during the epidemic.

In Mexico, the mortality from COVID-19 it peaked in the second week of July and declined in the first week of October.

The average stands at 77.4 percent, although for week 45, it is 1.9 percent, less than the current 2.5 percent of Europe.

Mortality from COVID-19 in Mexico as of November 17. Photo by SSa

Instead, lethality is the number of people who die divided by those who have been identified as having the disease.

In other words, it is the probability of dying if you have COVID-19.

López-Gatell Ramírez added that the COVID-19 fatality in the country it peaked between April and May, to later drop to the current average fatality rate, which remains low.

The average is 9.8 percent, although for week 45, it is 3.3 percent.

Fatality due to COVID-19 in Mexico as of November 17. Photo by SSa

Recommendations for COVID-19

The Ministry of Health recommends adopt the following measures to avoid the spread of COVID-19 and respiratory diseases:

Wash hands frequently with soap and water or use 70 percent alcohol-based gel When coughing or sneezing, use the label sneeze, which consists of covering the nose and mouth with a disposable tissue or with the inner corner of the arm Do not touch your face, nose, mouth and eyes with dirty hands Clean and disinfect surfaces and objects of common use in: homes, offices, closed places, transport, meeting centers, etc. Stay at home when you have respiratory problems and see a doctor if any of the symptoms occur (fever over 38 ° C, headache, sore throat, runny nose, etc.)

With information from López-Dóriga Digital