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Keiko Fujimori gets stuck in polls while stirring ghosts of communism

Lima, Apr 27 (EFE) .- Keiko Fujimori will categorically lose the elections in Peru according to all the polls, which so far highlight the failure of a campaign focused on stirring up ghosts of communism and send the strong message that his own figure is an obstacle so that he can obtain the Presidency. A month and a half before the second electoral round that will confront Fujimori with the far-left candidate Pedro Castillo, an unexpected opponent whose proposals also polarize the country, the daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori (1990-2000), sentenced to 25 years in prison. For crimes against humanity and corruption, he is behind his rival with an intention to vote between 11% and 20% lower. The Fujimori vote intention, in fact, is closer to those who think to vote blank or annul their vote than to their rival. Her “anti-vote” – those who say they would never vote for her – is around 55% of the population, 20 points above her opponent, and among her voters, the loyalty of the suffrage is weaker than that exhibited by the followers of the rural teacher competing against her for the head of state. All despite the overwhelming media support it receives from the Peruvian press, highly critical of the radical and change proposals of the Peru Libre party for which Castillo is running, who nonetheless seems to have found an echo among the most impoverished and largely majority sectors of the Peruvian society. LONG CAMPAIGN Analysts and political scientists agree that the electoral campaign for the second round of June 6 is still long and that Peruvians tend to decide their vote at the last minute, which gives Fujimori room. It will also help the candidate, who already lost the second presidential round in 2011 and 2016, the fact that Castillo will be under the spotlight and will have to further specify her proposals, with subsequent wear and tear. But for Keiko to win, analysts also agree that he will have to make a substantial change to his campaign and his proposals. “The anti-communist message in these weeks does not work for Keiko, probably because it appeals to an audience that is already convinced, less, of Lima’s middle and upper classes, and with that it does not convince that great majority that does not see it as an option,” he said to Efe the sociologist Sandro Venturo. That, together with the “terruqueo” – the accusations of terrorist ties that the Peruvian right systematically uses to refer to any left-wing position – has proven to have a very short margin or even to be harmful and does not address the underlying problem of his candidacy: and is that Keiko does not offer confidence to the electorate. ANTIVOTO “Castillo is a new candidate, who generates a lot of interest. Keiko is a candidate for the third time, and has already been running many campaigns where all the good and the bad have been brought out of her. She has a more consolidated public image, more antibodies and drags a liabilities, “Urpi Torrado, manager of Datum Internacional, one of the largest polling companies in Peru, told Efe. Venturo expressed this problem in another way: “For a message to be successful it needs two conditions: that the messenger has credibility and that the message responds to expectations. She is a messenger without credibility and secondly, she does not respond to the concerns of the great majority of Peruvians. If you keep that, it will not grow and may even shrink. ” Peruvians, mired in a deep health, economic and political crisis, are calling for a change, but Keiko presents himself as an absolute guarantor of the neoliberal model established by his father and with that he is “closing the door to say that he has experience, that he could reform or improve things and that with those materials I could meet the demands of the people, “said Venturo. Thus, Keiko would have an opportunity if people were able to perceive that they recognized how badly they handled their parliamentary majority and their confrontation with the presidents Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (2016-2018) and Martín Vizcarra (2018-2020) that unleashed the deep political crisis that he is experiencing the country. “If she recognized that the vast majority of people reject her, she would go a long way. And if she could steal flags from Castillo and present herself as a great reformer who has experience and technicians, she would have more options. But knowing Fujimori, those conditions are remote,” he said. the sociologist. Torrado agreed with the analysis by pointing out that particularly young people are waiting “for me to apologize for what has been done in these years” and to “make commitments.” “If that doesn’t happen, you won’t get what you need,” said the analyst. CASTILLO IN THE FOCUS On the contrary, Castillo does seem to have connected with the hopes of the people and is showing “the film that people want to see”, although now he will have a difficult time when he has to present his technical teams and if he has organization to be able to assume the government, Venturo reasoned. Torrado recalled that Castillo also has an important “anti-vote” and that in Peru other candidates have already won with a very broad rejection among the population, so Keiko “does not have everything closed and he does have a way to go”, more now than his rival he will have to expose himself more. In that sense, Castillo should maintain a profile that reassures broad sectors, strive to neutralize the “terruqueo” and stay “close to the people”, because that is something that has worked “well” for him. “It will also be important to see which government teams will have both. People do not want improvisation. Those will have to build trust,” he concluded. (c) EFE Agency