Nicaragua is relatively calm, it could precede a storm in the area of Covid-19 infections, according to the Disciplinary Scientific Collective of Nicaragua, which warns that failing to take measures could translate, in two or three weeks, into a bigger rebound of contagions to lived between May and June.
Dr. Carlos Hernández, a public health expert, commented that the signs, including the government figures, show a reduction in the cases that occur, but an epidemic does not behave in this way.
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He indicated that the curve is flat as there was no increase in average cases per day and a reduction of 50 to 47 average cases per day was detected. “The cases do seem to have decreased where contact and reporting are available. Most of the cases have not been tested, “said Dr. Hernández, noting that in rural areas cases increase, although there are no reports, showing the spread of the virus.
“(In the government) they were not prepared for an epidemic like this and because they gave it a political bias they ended up doing awkward things like that of express burials, leaving people at the doorstep without information from their families because everything was a secret. That they have been solving, “said Hernández.
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“The perception is that the situation has calmed down and that is relatively true. We have signs, the same Observatory (Ciudadano Covid-19), which is a very important parameter, recognizes that there have been fewer cases per day, ”he said.
Agglomerations, the beginning of the storm
LA PRENSA made a tour of different bars on Friday night and managed to see that they were crowded and customers were not wearing masks. “People are feeling that there is no longer any danger and that is the biggest mistake,” said the specialist.
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To this example he added the activities of the municipalities such as patronal festivals and the agglomerations promoted by the government where masks are not worn and preventive measures are not taken. “There are activities that are accumulating the virus in the incubation stage again and we believe that in the coming weeks there will be a rebound in the main cities and in the most peripheral areas,” he warned.
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He considered that what Nicaragua is experiencing is a “deceptive situation of supposed calm” and it should be learned from lessons like the one in Costa Rica that is already experiencing these spikes in cases. “Today, larger outbreaks are accumulating and many more dispersed than the first ascent in the curve,” he said.
Measurements should become a habit
For his part, the epidemiologist Leonel Argüello made a call to maintain the measures, which are basic rules of hygiene and that these become habits in Nicaraguans, such as: the physical distance of two meters; hand washing for 40 seconds; do not wave with hands, elbows or kisses; Isolation in the case of being sick and not touching your face or eyes.
He clarified that in the case of adults habits are created out of interest, putting the case that the seat belt is often placed for the risk of a fine, not for being aware that it can save life in an accident. “So in some countries what has been done is educate, in others fine and in others educate and fine, so that people acquire the habit,” she said.
Claim prevention and no care
He regretted that historically in Nicaragua people claim for care and not for prevention. He considered that the population is desperate for a miracle cure and that is the reason why they self-medicate.
“In this country it has failed in the basics. It is like the base of a house, if you do it wrong, no matter how beautiful you make it up in a tremor it falls. We do not have a good hygiene base, “he warned.
The Covid spring
Both Hernández and Argüello compare the behavior of the Covid-19 to holding a spring. The spring is contagion, the act of sustaining it preventive measures. “Squeezing is staying home. If you release it all at once, it suddenly jumps. If you do it little by little you are going to be able to put it in its place without it jumping ”, the specialists explained.