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COVID-19 : They project almost 539,000 deaths from covid-19 in the US in April

The measures of Biden and Harris to contain the covid-19 9:53

. – A new update of an influential model on coronavirus by the University of Washington shows a grim picture of deaths from covid-19 in the coming months in the United States.

In addition, it suggests that even a rapid launch of the vaccine will not reduce the number much.

This Friday’s update from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) projects that 538,893 Americans could die of COVID-19 by April 1. The model suggests that daily deaths will peak in the 3,000 range in mid-January, before gradually falling.

The IHME projections also take into account vaccine development. The data suggests that a “rapid vaccine release” would still mean about 527,704 deaths by April 1, a reduction of only about 11,000. The model mainly covers the period before covid-19 vaccines are expected to be widely available to the public.

Much more impressive, the model suggests, would be the universal use of masks. The model argues that more than 66,000 American lives could be saved in this way.

“Preventing even more deaths is critically dependent on state governors implementing mandate packages as pressure on hospitals increases,” the researchers write.

At the other end of the spectrum, the model shows that covid-19 deaths in April would skyrocket to 717,229 if security mandates are removed and not renewed as cases rise.