COVID-19 : Coronavirus | A CSIC researcher advances when the pandemic will end in Spain

In recent weeks, the incidence of coronavirus infections is decreasing in Spain, after a rough start of years after the holidays. The latest update of the pandemic data, corresponding to Monday, puts the incidence at 252.19 per every 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days.

Some data that have led some communities to relax measures against COVID, but with which you still have to be careful. Vicente Larraga, researcher at the Margarita Salas Center for Biological Research at the Higher Council for Scientific Research (CIB-CSIC), exposes these data and warns that they are still high. “The curve is clearly descending, but you have to make it go all the way down. In some communities there are even 8 and 9 times the maximum decreed by the World Health Organization (WHO) as risky. “

In an interview with La Hora de La 1, the expert highlights the importance of reducing before the arrival of a new wave. “If we get to the 50 cases, which would be the ideal, when we want to produce the rise again we will have a much of the population protected by the vaccine, thus avoiding a fourth wave“.

Back to normal

Likewise, in his intervention with the television program, he has ventured to assess when a notable reduction in infections in Spain. “With these very restrictive measures, the impact of the pandemic will decrease in autumn. From the summer it will be very noticeable. It is being seen in nursing homes that is drastically lowering the number of infections. The same thing will happen with the general population, “he says.

And to end the pandemic? The expert predicts that “We will move on to something similar to what we knew from the fall”. However, he warns that the end of the pandemic in Spain does not mean that it ends in the world. “We will continue with it for years, the less fortunate countries are not getting vaccinated this year like us. Until 2023 will not begin to clarify the world panorama. Ours will become much clearer in the summer. “